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(Privacy Policy)AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. Have a David Bowie impression. It all about the writing. Has met Bowie. But the possible trickle down effect of tit for tat tariffs hikes on consumers is adding to jitters over heady valuations, even though luxury firms are not as directly threatened by rising protectionism as carmakers and industrial companies.The sector has an average valuation of 21 times 12 month earnings forecasts, according to data, down from its May peak, but still 23 percent above its 10 year average.”We are not making a call that they are bad companies, we think they’re great companies. “Now there’s an incremental risk from the great unknown of trade tariffs as well.”It would not be the first demand driven wobble the luxury industry has faced. In 2012, a Chinese crackdown on corruption caused purchases of premium cognac and other high end goods used as gifts to fall sharply, taking the likes of LVMH and Remy Cointreau shares down with them.This time, tariffs threaten consumers’ spending power in both the United States and China the world’s two biggest consumers of European luxury goods, which make up just over half the industry’s revenues.The impact on confidence in China’s markets, including the depreciation of the renminbi that would eat into Chinese tourists’ budgets for shopping in Europe, is among risks that may not be fully reflected in stocks yet, analysts warn.”We see very little priced in so far,” said UBS analysts, who forecast as much as a 30 percent share price drop in the sector index in the event of a fully fledged trade war.

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